The Super Bowl quarterbacks the year before, Matthew Stafford (7.36) and Joe Burrow (7.43), both were top three in NY/A. Notably, the two quarterbacks who made it to the Super Bowl, Mahomes and Hurts, wound up in the top six in NY/A. The top six remained the same for ANY/A, although Joe Burrow moves from ninth in NY/A (6.52) to seventh in ANY/A (6.76). None played for teams that recorded losing records. Aside from Goff, each started for teams that made the playoffs. The six quarterbacks who led in NY/A in 2022 included Tua Tagovailoa (8.04), Patrick Mahomes (7.51), Jimmy Garoppolo (7.17), Jared Goff (7.02), Jalen Hurts (6.97) and Josh Allen (6.87). We’ll do so with an eye to their subsequent performance in the playoffs - if NY/A and ANY/A are meaningful stats, quarterbacks that fared well in the metric should’ve gone on deeper runs, while those who didn’t should’ve suffered early exits. Let’s look at the quarterbacks who fared best and worst in both NY/A and ANY/A during the 2022 regular season. Using NY/A: Case Study | Football Betting & Strategy Guide Further, NY/A and ANY/A are great metrics for comparing two quarterbacks on the same team. The metrics can serve as a useful gauge for individual quarterbacks if you don’t look too closely - a quarterback who records 7.49 NY/A is likely a much higher-value asset than one who records 4.32 NY/A, regardless of the supporting cast. Digging into a quarterback’s NY/A and ANY/A can help you identify whether a team’s success - or a lack thereof - is sustainable. Likewise, should you credit quarterbacks for the yards their receivers generate after the catch? This metric doesn’t differentiate between a 50-yard hail mary and an 11-yard slant if the players who catch them rack up the same number of yards.Īll of that said, teams that gain more net yards usually score more points, and teams that score more points tend to win more games. Quarterbacks shouldn’t be punished for poor offensive line play. While some quarterbacks are to blame for the sacks they take, this isn’t always the case. Treating NY/A and ANY/A as purely a quarterback statistic is misguided. NY/A = (Passing Yards – Sack Yards) / (Passing Attempts + Sacks Taken)ĪNY/A = ((Passing Yards – Sack Yards) + (20 * Passing Touchdowns) – (45 * Interceptions)) / (Passing Attempts + Sacks Taken) Their formulae are relatively self-explanatory: ANY/A also rewards quarterbacks for passing touchdowns while punishing them for interceptions. The metrics measure the number of yards a quarterback has gained through the air, minus any yards lost via sacks, divided by their total number of passing attempts and sacks. So what are net yards per attempt (NY/A), and why should you care about them? I advise that you think about this statistic, and its sibling statistic, adjusted net yards per attempt (ANY/A), as a gauge of both an offense and a quarterback. NFL Football Betting & Strategy Guide: What are Net Yards Per Attempt (NY/A)? NFL Football Betting & Strategy Guide Part 3. React App You need to enable JavaScript to run this app. Want to give it a whirl? New users who sign up here can get 70% off their first month! The method works for multiple different sports, including football, basketball, baseball and more. Instead of using numbers to create a competing projection, OddsShopper indexes the lines available across the sportsbooks, especially the sharp ones, to identify bets with positive expected value. OddsShopper Premium’s tools take a different approach. This football betting guide tackles methods for developing an origination or projections-based football betting strategy. If you want to zoom out and get a bigger-picture view, check out the first installment! As always, if you don’t want to do the dirty work yourself, subscribe to OddsShopper Insider Access and check out my NFL betting model. In this installment of our NFL football sports betting and strategy guide, I’ll dive into the specifics of net yards per attempt. © 2023 Cleveland Browns.The most profitable football bettors have both a broad understanding of statistics and the wisdom to know which numbers matter most.
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